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2019-09-27 15:58請問用12題的解法,答案是93呢? X-0.5%*250*10/sqr0.5%*99.5%*250*10=1.96,求出X是93? 以下是12題的答案解析:The risk manager will reject the hypothesis that the model is correctly calibrated if the number x of losses exceeding the VaR is such that: (x – pT)/sqrt(p(1 – p)T) > 1.96 where p represents the failure rate and is equal to 1 – 98%, or 2%; and T is the number of observations, 252. Then 1.96 = two-tail confidence level quantile → x >1.96 × sqrt(2% × 98% × 252) + p×T = 9.40. So the maximum number of exceedances would be 9 to conclude that the model is calibrated correctly.
所屬:FRM Part II 視頻位置 相關(guān)試題
來源: 視頻位置 相關(guān)試題
1個回答
Robin Ma助教
2019-09-27 17:33
該回答已被題主采納
同學(xué)你好,你的計算器按錯了吧,X-0.5%*250*10/sqr0.5%*99.5%*250*10=1.96,你的公式排的是正確的。但是 2500*0.005顯然是12.5,2500*0.005*0.995再開根號也是一個很小的數(shù)字,心算也能看出是一個個位數(shù),那么X肯定不會很大,十幾二十幾最多了。
